The test positivity rate (TPR), which reached a record 86 days of 17.73 percent on Saturday, has alarmed the Kerala government, which according to sources is likely to discuss developments at an online meeting today (Monday) with the prime minister outside the state capital.
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The TPR dropped to 16.41 percent on Sunday, but that’s poor consolation for a tired government that had to relax due to quarantine and related Covid control measures during the current Onama season. They are likely to be reconsidered, and could even be rebuilt to some extent.
A set of active cases
The number of active cases on Sunday was 1.63,212, far less than the frightening 4.6 minor cases projected by the six-member central team that visited eight state districts from August 1st to 20th.
The “unlocking”, the approach of the Onam festival and the reopening of tourism were challenging scenarios and worrying, Dr. Sujeet Singh, who led the central team, told directors of the National Center for Disease Control (NCDC) at the end of a visit to reporters here on August 10th.
Admission to the hospital remained more or less stable at 26,586 on Sunday. This is an important metric that health experts follow because infections infected during the Onama season will show up in the next seven to 10 days and translate into new receptions.
Hospital admission trend
As one of the most vaccinated states, Kerala is also witnessing a wave of breakthrough infections. That is what is currently driving the daily new figures, according to several health experts and economists. These are mild cases and probably do not lead to admission to the hospital.
The review meeting will need to address key questions of what can be done to reduce both the TPR and the daily number of new cases. Sources said one option before the government is to target those counties that continue to report accelerated virus transmission.