March-May: The coldest over Kerala, the southern interior of the Karnataka


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The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said it expects expectations below seasonal maximum (daily) temperatures in most meteorological departments of the South Peninsula and neighboring Central India during March and May, which represents the pre-season for the country.

However, he agreed with most global forecasts to signal above normal daily temperatures most subdivisions of northern, northwestern and northeastern India, several subdivisions from the eastern and western parts of Central India and several coastal subdivisions of the North Peninsula India.

The coldest over Kerala, South Karnataka

Seasonal prospects were prepared using Monsoon Mission Coupled Forecast System (MMCFS) simulations based on February 2021 conditions. MMCFS was developed as part of the Monsoon Mission project. Temperature prospects were prepared according to the predictions of 31 members of the ensemble.

Kerala and South Interior Karnataka would experience the coldest summer of the season, followed by Tamil Nadu, the northern interior of Karnataka, Rayalaseem and Madhya Maharashtra. Next cool on the list are Telangana, Marathawada, Vidarbha, West Madhya Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh.

Konkan & Goa among the most popular

In contrast, Konkan and Goa (including Mumbai) would be among those who will experience the warmest pre-season weather this season. He would be joined by the Chhattisgarh and Odisha Met divisions in the East. In fact, these three subdivisions of the Met together are expected to be the most interesting to the country as a whole.

A little less hot would probably be Gujarat; Saurashtra & Kutch; Sikkim, Assam and Meghalaya; Jharkhand; Western Uttar Pradesh; Delhi, Haryana and Chandigarh; Bihar; East Rajasthan and West Rajasthan; Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Mizoram, Nagaland and Tripura; Punjab; Himachal Pradesh; and Uttarakhand.

Some warmer nights

Above normal night temperatures are likely in most regional parts of northern India in the foothills of the Himalayas, northeastern India, the western parts of Central India and the southern parts of the Indian subcontinent. Lower normal night temperatures are likely in most parts of the eastern part of Central India and a little in the extreme northern parts of the country.

Moderate La Nine conditions prevail over the equatorial Pacific Ocean, and sea surface temperatures (SST) are below normal values ​​for the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, the IMD said in a statement. The latest MMCFS forecast suggests that conditions in La Niña may take place during March and May, which is also a consensus perspective of global models.

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